Scottish Commonwealth Games Team, the predictions!

Embed from Getty Images

(Update #2, thanks for your thoughts on twitter, we’re building a better picture now)

The date has just passed for riders meeting the qualification standards for the Scottish  Commonwealth Games Team in Glasgow. The riders who have automatic qualification & have met all the required standards should now be waiting for the call to see if they’ll be representing their country in Glasgow 2014. The following is a bit of hopefully reasonably accurate guesswork, but remember I only got the TT course 80% correct, so these predictions by no means written in stone.

I’m gathering info on the Para athletes, so that’ll be coming up in the next couple of weeks, with another blog piece.

Events

Womens Track:

  • Sprint
  • Para-Sport Sprint B Tandem
  • 500m Time Trial
  • Para-Sport 1000m Time Trial B Tandem
  • 3000m Individual Pursuit
  • 25km Points Race
  • 10km Scratch Race

Mens Track:

  • Sprint
  • Para-Sport Sprint B Tandem
  • Team Sprint
  • 1000m Time Trial
  • Par-Sport 1000m Time Trial B Tandem
  • Keirin
  • 4000m Individual Pursuit
  • 4000m Team Pursuit
  • 40km Points Race
  • 20km Scratch Race

Mountain Biking:

  • Womens Cross Country
  • Mens Cross Country

Road Cycling:

  • Womens Road Race
    Womens Time Trial
  • Mens Road Race
    Mens Time Trial

Qualification Standards

I wrote a piece on the track qualification very early on, back when Chris Hoy was still possibly riding, but not really looked since, apart from spending some time on the UCI site attempting to work out which MTB riders may have met the standards. The full details, including the events that are required for the non-timed events are detailed in the Scottish Cycling Selection Policy.

TRACK

Mens Track (timed events):

  • Individual Pursuit: 4:30.396
  • Team Pursuit: 4:08.175
  • Sprint (200m): 10.394s
  • Kilo: 1:02.889
  • Team Sprint Man 1 (lap time): 17.901s
  • Team Sprint Man 2 (lap time): 13.529s
  • Team Sprint Man 3 (lap time): 13.95s

Men (Scratch & Points):

  • See selection policy document linked above

Womens Track (timed events):

  • Individual Pursuit: 3:41.581
  • Sprint (200m): 11.465s
  • 500m TT: 35.127

Women (Scratch & Points):

  • See selection policy document linked above

ROAD

Womens Road Race (In order of priority)

  • Winner of British National RR Championships 2013
  • A rider who is a current member of a UCI registered women’s trade team in the top half of the UCI ranked teams.
  • Selection for GB team on 2 or more occasions
  • Member of GB cycling podium or academy programme
  • National series event top 4 or National Championships top 6 placing on two or more occasions – prior agreed other events of comparable standard will also be considered when provided with validated evidence

Womens Time Trial (In order of priority)

  • A rider with UCI ranking points from time trial events on the international calendar
  • A rider selected for GB for World Championships time trial
  • A rider who has been nominated for the Road Race and has finished in the top ten of a national championship time trial on the UCI calendar
  • A rider who finishes in the top 3 of the British Time Trial Championships (senior category) or CTT 10/25 mile British Championships may be considered

Mens Road Race (In order of priority)

  • A rider who is a current member of a UCI World Tour of Professional Continental Team
  • Winner of British National RR Championships 2013
  • A rider who is a current member of a UCI Continental Team
  • Selection for GB on 2 or more occasions
  • Member of GB cycling podium or academy programme
  • National Series event top 5 or National Championships top 6 placing on two or more occasions – prior agreed other events of comparable standard will also be considered when provided with validated evidence.

Mens Time Trial (In order or priority)

  • A rider with UCI ranking points from time trial events on the international calendar
  • A rider selected for GB for World Championships time trial
  • A rider who has been nominated for the Road Race and has finished in the top ten of a national championship time trial on the UCI calendar
  • A rider who finishes in the top 3 of the British Time Trial Championships (senior category) or CTT 10/25 mile British Championships may be considered

MOUNTAIN BIKING

Men & Women (In order of priority)

  • Member of GB cycling programme (Senior or Academy)
  • Selection for GB on 2 or more occasions
  • Riders must achieve 2 or more results equal or better than the stated % figures at elite level.
    • 106% of winners time at UCI ranked event
    • 110% of winners time at World Cup
    • Average lap time to be within 110% of winners average lap time at World Cup (not including 1st lap)

The Predictions

I think there’s a reasonable understanding of who’s reached track qualifying times recently, sounded like everybody was encouraging each other to get the times at the Sir Chris Hoy Velodrome recently. As I stated before, I’m guessing, so don’t assume I actually know anything, it’s just some predictions.

Track: Womens Sprint

 I’m assuming that Jennie Davis has set a time, but no confirmation. I know Ellie Richardson has qualified for the 500m TT. Hopefully we can get a team sprint together in Glasgow.

Track: Womens Endurance

We know Katie Archibald has met the pursuit qualification times & can ride any endurance event as being part of the GB team. Otherwise there’s strong rumours than Anna Turvey has also set a pursuit qualifying time. Kayleigh Brogan, Eileen Roe & Charlene Joiner have all met the standards for the Scratch & Points through results in events, while Katie Archibald has fully qualified.

Track: Mens Sprint

It looks like we will have a full complement of riders who’ve met the standards, John Paul, Callum Skinner, Chris Pritchard (sorry I missed you in the first edit), Bruce Croall & Kenny Ayre. So hopefully we’ll be represented in all sprint events with some high quality riders. Great to see a major event with the kilo in it, come on IOC.

Track: Mens Endurance

Expect four riders to have met the qualifying standards, Evan Oliphant, James McCallum, Mark Stewart & Alistair Rutherford. I don’t believe they’ve met the Team Pursuit time, a very quick 4:08, so we’ll not be seeing a Scottish team in that event.There were no qualifiers in the individual pursuit, but some incredibly fast times & some very close to the world class qualification time, the legacy from this should raise the bar in pursuiting by some way in the future.

Road: Women

I’m not entirely sure who’s met the standards on this one, but Katie Archibald will be there, Eileen Roe looks good for a place. Anne Ewing & Claire Thomas have qualified for a place too, so looks like a strong team will line up in the city centre. In the TT, Katie Atchibald recently won a round of the UK TT series, beating other GB riders, Lucy Coldwell is a possible for the other place.

Road: Men

We should have five riders in the road race, of those David Millar, Andrew Fenn, Tao Geoghegan Hart & Evan Oliphant have automatically qualified, expect James McCallum to be in there too along with possibly Jack Pullar. Could Alex Coutts get a place, has he applied? As far as the TT goes, expect David Millar & possibly Andy Fenn to ride.

MTB: Women

We have British champion Lee Craigie, with Kerry Macphee getting some impressive results recently & Jessie Roberts, all who have met the standards.

MTB: Men

Some world class riders representing Scotland here, Grant Ferguson & Kenta Gallagher, both who have been getting results all over the world recently. The remaining place may be taken by a number of riders who have also been travelling & racking up ranking points, Rab Wardell or Gareth Montgomerie.

I apologise for anybody I’ve missed, but let me know if you’re missing from my list & have qualified. The official announcement will be made at the end of the month.

Details of all the previous Scottish Cycling medals at Commonwealth Games can be found HERE.

Wiggo Comes to Glasgow, again…

Wiggins
Brad in the Team Sky ‘Death Star’ bus.

A source close to Team Sky has provided some startling information regarding the motivation behind newly bearded Bradley Wiggins decision which was announced today, that he is taking part in the Commonwealth Games time trial in Glasgow. It transpires that the choice may have been heavily influenced by some new-found friends he encountered during his ‘winter of discontent’ after his 2012 Tour de France victory.

Brad allegedly fell asleep on a train after a particularly wild night out in Manchester, then woke up in Glasgow Central station several hours later. Not wanting to waste the trip, the Olympic hero decided to explore the local culture as an accidental tourist & happened upon Glasgow Cross, where the patrons of the long-established Tollbooth bar welcomed him in with open arms. There he entertained the locals for two whole days with his tails of conquering France & the finer points of cultivating facial hair, the latter of which was a speciality of many of the regulars. During this time many stories were told of the amazing opportunities that exist for bearded gentlemen that simply did not exist for the sideburned Sir, his mind was made up & a full beard was planned for Glasgow 2014. Not only would this provide some additional warmth for the Scottish summer (marginal gains), but he would also win the hearts & minds of an otherwise potentially hostile public, not partial to a shaven legged Englishman, wearing a St Georges cross skinsuit in Glasgow City Centre, just a few weeks prior to the referendum on Scottish Independence. With the finest ginger beard seen on the face of any professional cyclist the world had ever seen, he could woo the Scottish crowds & this time sit on the Commonwealth throne (rather than the Olympic one) as his rivals recorded their times on the leaderboard. The scene was set for a relatively relaxed 2013 race programme, followed by winter 2013/2014 spent cultivating the secret weapon, the fastest ginger whiskers in history, designed to create adoration from the Scottish public. Then a full assault for the Glasgow 2014 Time Trial title as his primary objective. As it’s transpired, this is exactly what is happening.

A source close to somebody who watches ‘The One Show” has confirmed that Hugh Porter will not be the BBC commentator during the Commonwealth cycling events, but instead they will be using Brad’s close friend & doppelgänger Frankie Boyle, also a big fan of the monarchy. Unknown to most, Frankie is also a keen cyclist & has an in-depth knowledge of the finer points of aero helmets & race pacing, it should provide much better coverage that Hugh’s constant “full of riding” commentary we see in every event. The post race interview with Brad & Frankie is scheduled to be broadcast after 9pm for some undisclosed reason, so Frankie’s wife Susan Boyle will be interviewing riders during the daytime & providing post race soundbites.

In a recent poll of attitudes towards Bradley Wiggins from a wide demographic of Scottish cycling fans, it showed a very large swing towards “Good Guy”, in a stark contrast to a pre-beard poll which showed the majority chose the other option. The strategy appears to have worked well & I urge all spectators to cheer on Bradley when you see him on the course. He’s certainly made a huge effort & deserves our support.

If you’d like to meet Brad after the time trial on 31st July, it’s almost certain you’ll find him in his favourite Glasgow bar, seeking advice on his next career goal.

Quali’s for the Comi’s – Track

* Post British Track Champs update coming in early October.

Commonwealth Games Qualification for the Scottish Cycling team, that subject littered with controversy, accusations, and now more relevant as it’s going to be in Glasgow, the home territory will surely create one hell of a fight. It’s quite early, but the coming season is very important, most of the qualification will be done in 2013, so it’s important that we know how riders qualify.

In this blog post, I’ll just limit it to the track squad, as I assume the road & mtb teams will be more difficult to predict, also it’s likely to be based on some extrapolation of UCI points for determining how many riders we actually get, so that’s for another day & further research.

Ok, first up, what are the Commonwealth Games track events we’re talking about…

Women:

  • Sprint
  • Para-Sport Sprint B Tandem
  • 500m Time Trial
  • Para-Sport 1000m Time Trial B Tandem
  • 3000m Individual Pursuit
  • 25km Points Race
  • 10km Scratch Race

Men:

  • Sprint
  • Para-Sport Sprint B Tandem
  • Team Sprint
  • 1000m Time Trial
  • Par-Sport 1000m Time Trial B Tandem
  • Keirin
  • 4000m Individual Pursuit
  • 4000m Team Pursuit
  • 40km Points Race
  • 20km Scratch Race

As you can see there’s some disparity in the events for each gender, very different to the Olympics these days, but possibly the reason is partly due to there being very few female track riders from outside the UK countries, Australia & Canada, but would be very nice to have more events, nothing we can do for 2014 but hopefully later Commonwealth Games will have a bit more equality.

What’s interesting here is that we have no omnium or madison, but the kilo, 500m TT, Scratch, Points & Pursuits are medal events in their own right, harking back to ‘the good old days’ of Olympic competition, which is rumoured to be returning.

So lets get down to the qualification process, Scottish Cycling have released a document detailing the requirements, you can download that from the link below.

Scottish Cycling Selection Policy

So the technicalities are that riders have to set the times on a UCI approved 250m velodrome, with a temperature correction set to 24 degrees (don’t ask me how you work that out, must be a BC thing). The timed events are based on the 2011 worlds podium averages, then a certain percentage is added on for each event, so we get the following qualification times required for each event.

Men (timed events):

  • Individual Pursuit: 4:30.396
  • Team Pursuit: 4:08.175
  • Sprint (200m): 10.394s
  • Kilo: 1:02.889
  • Team Sprint Man 1 (lap time): 17.901s
  • Team Sprint Man 2 (lap time): 13.529s
  • Team Sprint Man 3 (lap time): 13.95s

Men (Scratch & Points):

  • Flying Start 3000m: 3:28
  • Flying Start 500m: 30s

Women (timed events):

  • Individual Pursuit: 3:41.581
  • Sprint (200m): 11.465s
  • 500m TT: 35.127

Women (Scratch & Points):

  • Flying Start 2000m: 2:29
  • Flying Start 500m: 32.3s

The Para times are all to be confirmed, but we can be pretty sure who’s going to be riding those events already, for the woman we expect Aileen McGlynn piloted by Fiona Duncan, then the men with Neil Fachie piloted by Craig MacLean.

Who’s going to be within a shout for these places then, there’s a lot of emerging talent in sprinting with Callum Skinner & John Paul, these guys are very likely to appear as part of the team sprint squad, alongside Chris Hoy. It’s possible that Craig MacLean could line up for a Commonwealth Games without affecting his appearance as a tandem pilot, but unlikely as there will be some timing issues for the events, so I’ll go with my initial 3 for the team sprint places. I’m also going to go for Sir Chris as the number 1 rider in the Keirin & not riding the Sprint (we may be allowed more than one on Commonwealth Games), then Skinner & Paul taking the other places in Keirin & Sprint. The kilo could be interesting, the only rider who been posting times close to the qualification, is Bruce Croall, but we don’t yet know what the other sprinters can do in an event that BC don’t encourage them to ride. Or will Sir Chris attempt to finish his career with a gold medal in the event that initially made him famous, could be an exciting finale to a glittering career?

In the endurance events, could we have a couple of domestic riders capable of getting close to that pursuit qualification time if they specifically trained for it, Silas Goldsworthy & Ben Peacock? Silas got a tremendous 4th place in his first attempt at the British Pursuit champs this year, here’s his write up on Veloveritas. If Peacock can transform his TT speed into the very different high rpm required for a pursuit, he could be getting close too.

Then previous bronze medallist in the Scratch race, with that Cav boy winning the gold, James McCallum is likely to be challenging for a place in the points & scratch. I’ve just noticed the Ross Edgar has signed for a road team in 2013, the story is here on Velo UK. I think this is a cunning plan to contest the bunch races at the Commonwealth Games, he knows he’s not quite quick enough anymore to make the Team Sprint squad, so this could be a very smart move on his part, I expect to see him there, he can race bunch events, he’s regularly ridden in track leagues in the past. With the new indoor track, we don’t really know who is going to emerge, the 2013 Scottish Track Champs are likely to be a goldmine of talent, should be very exciting ot see who emerges. Unfortunately I doubt we’ll have a team pursuit team representing Scotland, the resources needed for that are huge just in track booking terms to be able to compete with the Aussies, ,Kiwi’s, English (basically the GB squad) and a likely strong team from Wales. So that needs another 4 years to develop.

As for the ladies, we have sprinter Jenny Davis, but nobody else who’s close to posting the qualification times required. Then in the bunch races theres Charline Joiner, Eileen Roe & Kayleigh Brogan, all very talented endurance riders who will surely be getting places in the Games at Glasgow. I think there’s a good chance of getting a medal with this group of riders, perhaps more likely than in the men’s endurance events? Again, there’s scope for some more talent to appear over the coming year with the Chris Hoy velodrome, so another interesting year ahead on the boards.

p.s. I apologise if I’ve missed anybody obvious in this, let me know and I’ll post some updates as time gets closer to selection.